The Top 5 Busts and Sleepers in Tonight’s 2011 NBA Draft

by 6 years ago


5. Kyle Singler (SF, Duke)
The interesting thing about Singler is that he’s not as good of a shooter as you would think. He never shot over 40% from three-point range in college and he didn’t shoot over 45% overall from the floor in his last three seasons. He certainly doesn’t have the athletic ability to make an impact and work ethic can only get you so far. The comparisons to Andres Nocioni aren’t fair because the Argentinean is a bit more athletic.

4. Marcus Morris (PF, Kansas)
For a guy who seemingly had an athletic advantage in college, Morris wasn’t necessarily a dominant player. His numbers did improve last year, but his rebounding rate compared to teammate Thomas Robinson is a little disappointing. He will struggle against NBA PFs who match any advantage he had in college.

3. Josh Selby (PG, Kansas)
I don’t like anyone’s demeanor when they become the cancer Selby became for Kansas this past year. If he was that good, how come he couldn’t find a role on the team after returning from a midseason hiatus? He came into Kansas as one of the best high school prospects in the country, but leaves Lawrence light years behind Kyrie Irving, who came in with the same accolades.

2. Jimmer Fredette (PG, BYU)
He won’t be able to defend and he never showed improvement distributing the ball as a PG, which is what he’d have to do in the pros. His shooting ability makes him a nice option for a team who has other people to dominate the basketball, but he’s currently not being sold in that respect. Other great college scorers have also tried and failed.

1. Kawhi Leonard (SF, San Diego State)
Everyone thought Leonard had great athleticism to project at the next level until he showed up at the combine and absolutely bombed. He failed to live up to the big stage in multiple opportunities and will now not get the benefit of dominating against Wyoming and Air Force. He’s going to get drafted too high because of team needs and perceived talent, but will be a lottery washout.

On the next page, the Top 5 Sleepers of the Draft…{pagebreak}


5. Malcolm Lee (SG, UCLA)
Sleeper is a relative term for Lee because he’s not exactly off people’s radars, but his defensive ability will make him an NBA player for the next 10 to 15 years. He’s quick enough to guard PGs and SGs and will get thrown into the mix right away. He will need to work on his jump shot to really stick in the league, but he’ll have plenty of time to do that.

4. Trey Thompkins (PF, Georgia)
It’s rare that college players actually develop post-up moves, but Thompkins displayed that in his time at Georgia. He can take his game outside for jumpers as well, which will allow him to contribute in multiple offenses. His athleticism is under question, but it won’t be as important with his offensive diversity and rebounding effort.

3. Norris Cole (PG, Cleveland St.)
There always seems to be a few PGs from mid-majors who turn out to be solid NBA players and Norris could fit that bill. He took his game to another level in his senior year and improved his assist-to-turnover ratio dramatically over his four years. He also rebounds and defends well for a guard, which will give him value to some NBA team.

2. Charles Jenkins (PG, Hofstra)
Chuck has been battling the odds for his whole career while trying to carry his Hofstra team. He won the NYC area college player of the year for three straight seasons and improved his shooting numbers in his senior year to give hope at the NBA level. He also cut off one turnover a game from his numbers last year, which shows maturity.

1. JuJuan Johnson (PF, Purdue)
First-team All-Americans rarely get overlooked, but that’s what happening to JJ right now. He played on a team with only one quality player (E'twaun Moore) and a bunch of guys you could pick up at the Y. Since he’ll get drafted late, he’ll undoubtedly have talent around him going forward and will be able to contribute in a number of different ways. He needs to add weight, but the added bulk won’t impact his game too much.

TAGSCollege BasketballJimmer Fredette

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