How Will Your Favorite MLB Team Fare Against Vegas’s Over/Under Predictions?

by 8 years ago

[inline:yanks]

Every year Vegas sportsbooks develop Major League Baseball teams Over/Unders for us degenerate gamblers to play over the course of the season. It gives us something to follow throughout the long, hot summer, but it’s painful that we have to wait for five months for the return on investment. Here’s a rundown of each team’s Over/Unders with my opinion and a quick snippet about each team’s chances this season. Disagree with your team’s assessment? Let us know about it in the Comments.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 82.5 Games

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

The potential of Justin Upton may have your fantasy squad drooling, but their starting pitching (Brandon Webb’s injury looming) leaves something to be desired.

 

Atlanta Braves: 85.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Tommy Hanson and Jason Heyward give the Braves a scary good youthful push to go along with last year’s steal of Nate McLouth and the deepest rotation in the NL.

 

Baltimore: 74.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

This might be the year that the Orioles make a relevant push with young stars Adam Jones, Matt Wieters, and Brian Matusz ready to lead the way.

 

Boston: 94.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

The lineup just isn’t as intimidating as it’s been in recent years. Mike Cameron, Adrian Beltre, and Marco Scutaro aren’t names that scare anyone.

 

Chicago Cubs: 82.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

The Cubs constantly have high expectations, but what exactly have they done to improve their team this offseason? Marlon Byrd isn’t a difference maker.

 

Chicago White Sox: 82.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Bounce-back years from Carlos Quentin and Alex Rios combined with a reasonable strong rotation give the White Sox potential to rise to the top of the AL Central.

 

Cincinnati Reds: 79.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

Oh, the Reds are the definition of mediocrity. If fans in Cincinnati want a superior product, they always have their chili.

 

Cleveland Indians: 74.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

I see a car crash waiting to happen with any worthwhile pieces being traded away at the deadline.

 

Colorado Rockies: 84.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Think about how strong they finished the season under Jim Tracy. Young talent across the roster should lead that to continue.

 

Detroit Tigers: 80.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

The acquisition of Max Scherzer should go a long way in stabilizing the rotation and there are plenty of bats to go around. Just don’t expect the same dominance from Johnny Damon in a bigger park.

 

Florida Marlins: 80.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

I’d like to think the Marlins are feisty and competitive for a portion of the season, but the bats aren’t really there outside of Hanley Ramriez. The pitching is a tad questionable after Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco as well.

 

Houston Astros: 74.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

Two of their best players (Lance Berkman and Roy Oswalt) are already hurt. El Cabayo (Carols Lee) is an underrated player, but even he can only do so much.

 

Kansas City Royals: 71.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

There was a push for the Royals to return to relevancy last year, but they still only won 65 games. I wouldn’t expect much improvement.

 

LA Angels: 83.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

The Angels have one of the deepest farm systems in the game and Mike Scioscia knows how to get the most out of his players.

 

LA Dodgers: 85.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Their rotation depends a lot on the maturation of Clayton Kershaw and Chad Billingsley, but the batters seem to be hitting their stride and ManRam is still strong.

 

Milwaukee Brewers: 80.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

I figure this team for 80 wins, but I had to pick sides. This is probably the toughest call on the board because average talent should ensure an average record.

 

Minnesota: 83.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

It’ll be interesting to see how a team with such a historic dominant home-field advantage performs in a new stadium. I’m thinking they lose the edge and the Joe Nathan injury implodes a usually solid bullpen.

 

NY Mets: 80.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

As a Mets fan I have absolutely no hope in a successful season. The rotation has been awful in Spring Training and one-third of their starting lineup is injured to begin the season.

 

NY Yankees: 95.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Expect the Yanks to return to their consistent form now that the monkey is off their backs.

 

Oakland A’s: 78.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

The division is rather wide open and their young pitching staff has potential to be great.

 

Philadelphia Phillies: 92.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Think about how good they were last year and remember Jimmy Rollins played like shit for half the season and they now get a full season of Roy Halladay to replace a half season of Cliff Lee.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates: 69.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

There’s always next year…

 

San Diego Padres: 71.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

The rebuilding process is probably a year or two away and seems more likely in the lineup than on the mound. Kyle Blanks will need to give Adrian Gonzalez protection or he won’t get pitched to.

 

San Francisco Giants: 81.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

Usually I’m selling the Giants, but I liked their offseason additions of Mark DeRosa and Aubrey Huff. We know they have plenty of pitching.

 

Seattle Mariners: 83.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

Look at the starting pitchers with Cliff Lee beginning the year on the disabled list: Ian Snell, Ryan Rowland-Smith, Garrett Olson, and Doug Fister. Yikes!

 

St. Louis Cardinals: 88.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

I hate Tony LaRussa, but you can pen these guys in for a division championship every year. The storyline to watch is 3B David Freese in his rookie year.

 

Tampa Bay Rays: 89.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Over

The staff is loaded with quality arms (hello, Wade Davis) and there’s plenty of battin

g to go around. This is their year to win it all before Carl Crawford is gone next year.

 

Texas Rangers: 84.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

I’m not sure why anyone would be so bullish on the Rangers given their starting pitching. Pitching always seems to be the Achilles heel, yet it’s never fixed.

 

Toronto Blue Jays: 70.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

The post-Halladay era begins…

 

Washington Nationals: 70.5

Mr. T’s Pick: Under

We’re still a couple years away from the Nationals being relevant, but at least we can enjoy Steven Strasbourg during the second half of the season.

 

Best Bets: Atlanta, Cleveland, Chicago (AL), Colorado, Minnesota, Seattle, San Francisco, and Tampa Bay.


TAGSbaseballGamblingMLBVegas