Fantasy Football 2019: Sleepers And Potential Busts To Consider Before Your Team Draft

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It’s time to talk football, specifically fantasy football.

Preseason has begun, we’re starting to see position battles emerge, young players making an impact in camp, and an overall perspective of whom we can depend on this season.

If you’re looking to learn the basics of fantasy football, we have you covered, but for the veterans, we have some player you need to watch out for as you begin to draft for the 2019 season.

Here is a list of Fantasy Pros Average Draft Position for this upcoming season.

A Few Things To Think About Heading Into 2019 Fantasy Drafts

1. The top of the list is running back is heavy

The last couple of years, we have seen a resurgence of the backfield; there are ten running backs in the top 16. You can go heavy at that position, even in the first three rounds, and trade one later for holes on your roster.

2. There’s only one quarterback in the top 40

Patrick Mahomes is the first quarterback at #17, Deshaun is next at #46.

Mahomes was the best quarterback last year with an average of 26.2 points per game, and next was Matt Ryan with 22.1.

If Mahomes falls to you in the second round, you should make a move, otherwise, wait until the later rounds to pick your quarterback.

3. The tight end position is thin

We only see only ten tight ends in the top 100.

Travis Kelce, George Kittle, and Zack Ertz are the ones you should feel comfortable taking early; otherwise, it’s a position you can wait on.

Fantasy Football 2019: Sleepers

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These are players you should be looking out for later in the drafts that can help you win this season along with their Average Draft Position (ADP).

Ricky Seals-Jones – Tight End – Arizona Cardinals (ADP: 31)

Seals-Jones was someone, who after a breakout rookie season, was considered to be a low-end TE1 going into 2018.

Unfortunately, he had the sophomore slump. I believe with a new quarterback and new coach, RSJ has the opportunity to be that tight end who average 19 yards-per-reception from Week 4-7 in 2017.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B080xiWn7eY/

Blake Jarwin – Tight End – Dallas Cowboys (ADP: 33)

Although Jason Witten, the Cowboys’ all-time leader in receiving yards, targets, and catches retired from his promising career in the broadcast booth, he’s still 37-years-old.

He’s also coming off one of the least productive years in his career.

Jerwin will be getting the bulk of the snaps from the position. He ended the regular season on a positive note, breaking out with a 7/119/3 game.

Darell Henderson – Running Back – Los Angeles Rams (ADP: 36.7)

We’re not sure what the situation with Todd Gurley’s knee is. He will be the number one running back going into the season, but Henderson could get plenty of opportunities if he’s not 100 percent.

The Rams depend on the running game; they had the ninth highest rushing percentage in 2018 with 43.59.

The third-third-round pick out of Memphis rushed for 1909 yards with 22 touchdowns last year.

Curtis Samuel – Wide Receiver – Carolina Panthers –  (ADP: 42.3)

He was on everyone’s add list after his Cam Newton targeted him 11 times in week 9, then 8 in week 10, he would then get 13 more on week 12.

Unfortunately for Samuel, the injured shoulder Newton potentially hindered a further breakout.

With a healthy Cam, Samuel can confidently be a reliable number two candidate with his 59.3% career catch rate.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Wide Receiver – Green Bay Packers (ADP: 48)

Marquez Valdes-Scantling is right now the number two in Green Bay.

The one thing we know about Aaron Rodgers is he likes to spread the ball around, and the Packers led the league in passing percentage with 67.54%.

Davante Adams will be his main target, but MVS will get plenty of opportunities in this offense.

Chris Thompson – Running Back – Washington Redskins (ADP: 57)

Thompson is someone I’ve always had in my stash. He’s a true PPR running back averaging 37.6 target per year and 8.2 reception yards per catch.

The one problem is his ability to stay on the field.

With an older Adrian Peterson, inexperienced Derrius Guice, and questions at quarterback, Thompson is a later round risk you that can pay off.

Josh Allen – Quarterback – Buffalo Bills (ADP: 62.3)

It was a tough rookie season for Allen and the Bills’ offense: 30th in points per game, and 29th in touchdowns per game.

The team has revamped their offense by adding John Brown Frank Gore, Tyler Croft, and Cole Beasley.

With better pieces around Allen, this will be a breakout sophomore season.

Fantasy Football 2019: Deep Sleepers

Albert Wilson – Wide Receiver – Miami Dolphins (ADP: 73)

Wilson spent the first few years as a rotational receiver in Kansas City.

It wasn’t until his second start in his career in Miami where he has his 9/155/2 breakout game. Unfortunately, a hip injury the next week ended his 2018 season.

There’s always that one receiver that gets the residuals of Fitzmagic, Wilson has best chance to be that guy.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B0hFlqYASjK/

Brian Hill – Running Back – Atlanta Falcons RB (ADP: N/A)

With Coleman no longer in Atlanta, Hill will be the number two.

Freeman will go into the season as their starting running back, but he’s had a history with injuries and Hill has career 6.3 yards-per-attempt.

He can be an effective handcuff and a good stash.

Chase Edmonds – Running Back – Arizona Cardinals (ADP: 79.0)

After the breakout 2016 season, getting only one carry into 2017, David Johnson had a disappointing 2018.

This is a whole new offense with a rookie quarterback and head coach.

Kliff Kingsbury likes to utilize his running backs in the receiving game, and with this high-tempo offense, Edmonds will get the opportunity to prove himself.

Jakobi Meyers – Wide Receiver – New England Patriots (ADP: N/A)

We know with the Patriots, it doesn’t matter who you are, if you can play, you’ll get your chance.

Meyers has been taking first-team snaps at the training camp, due to in part that Julian Edelman and Demaryius Thomas are both out with injuries.

What gives me great confidence in Meyers, this quote:

“He’s done a great job and he’s taken advantage of his opportunities. I think that’s really what we try to stress to anybody. It really doesn’t matter – the football doesn’t care how old you are, whether you were drafted or not. The football doesn’t care how much experience you have. It just knows that when I let that ball go, it’s got to be in the hands of the guy who it’s intended for. If that happens to be him, it’s him. If it’s Julian [Edelman], it’s Julian. Whoever it is, it doesn’t matter in football.”

Who said that? Thomas Edward Patrick Brady Jr.

Fantasy Football 2019: Potential Busts

Here are some players you should be cautious on taking this upcoming season.

Leonard Fournette – Running Back – Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP: 13.3)

When Fournette is on the field, he is a premiere three-down-back.

The problem? He’s not on the field.

He’s already missed ten games in two years due to injury (one was due violating team rules). Last year, he was a late first, early second-round RB1, this year, I’m taking him third or fourth as an RB2.

If you do decide to take the risk, you need to cuff him; Alfred Blue is currently number two for Jacksonville, but I would look at rookie Ryquell Armstead.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B03xHdwFSng/

Sony Michael – Running Back – New England Patriots (ADP 26.0)

Another case of great talent when on the field, but an injury risk.

He had an impressive rookie season rushing for 935 yards in 13 games.

Last year he missed games due to knee problems; he’s had issues in the past while playing at Georgia and torn his ACL in high school.

Some numbers that bother me is lack of impact in the passing game; he only had 11 targets last year.

Secondly, his yards after contact was only 2.06, and his 445 yards after initial contact rank 20th last year.

Austin Hooper – Tight End – Atlanta Falcons (ADP: 12)

Hooper has been on sleeper lists in previous seasons.

Although he had his best numbers last year, he’s never been impressive, even in a weak fantasy position. The big factor? 71 receptions only resulted in four touchdowns last year.

His red-zone target rate in 2018 was 16.1 percent, that was 17th amongst tight ends.

His 9.3 yards per reception show he’s nothing more than the last option dump off.

Tyler Lockett – Wide Receiver – Seattle Seahawks (ADP: 22)

Seattle’s offense is run first, pass second. Their 52.44% rushing percentage in 2018 was the highest in the NFL.

Lockett’s best number in terms of targets was in 2017, one more than he had last year. He hasn’t had a seven reception game since 2016.

Now with a bigger target for Wilson in D.K. Metcalf, Lockett’s targets will take an even bigger hit.

Jared Cook – Tight End – New Orleans (ADP: 8)

In two seasons with the Raiders, Cook has 122 receptions for 1584 yards.

Last year he led the team in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. He now enters a scenario in New Orleans with a top receding in Michael Thomas and a running back that also catches the ball in Alvin Kamara.

Last year’s tight end in New Orleans, Ben Watson, only saw an average of 2.9 targets per game, that was 24th amongst the position.

Adam Theilen – Wide Receiver – Minnesota Vikings (ADP: 10.7)

I don’t necessarily think he’ll be a complete bust. I believe you need to be cautious where you draft him.

He had an unreal 3/4 of a season; the last few games is what worries me.

The final five games he had 20/235/1 line, and after eight straight 100+ yard games to start the season, he only had one in the last eight.

He’d be a great value in the later rounds as a WR2.

Todd Gurley – Running Back – Los Angeles Rams (ADP: 8)

The fact we don’t know specifics about the extent of his knee injury worries me.

If you can get him in the third or fourth round, then take the risk.

As I previously mentioned, you should consider handcuffing with Darell Henderson.

Lamar Jackson – Quarterback – Baltimore Ravens (ADP: 17.2)

The Ravens made the decision to have Jackson lead this team.

He is not your typical pocket passer; he’s going to be the one who will rely on his legs. In the games he started, he averaged 159 passing yards, that ranked 40th, behind players like Blake Bortles, Matt Barkley, and C.J. Beathard, along with QB rating 82.6.

The team made an upgrade at with former Saints running back Mark Ingram. Ingram was a pivotal part of the red zone offense in New Orleans, this could take away passing opportunities for Jackson inside the 20.

Lamar Miller – Running Back – Houston Texans (ADP: 29)

Miller had an outstanding season in 2018 as a reliable RB2.

The Texans have some potent offensive weapons in Deandre Hopkins, Will Fuller, and DeShaun Watson is an effective passing and rushing quarterback.

They also recently traded for Duke Johnson, who can run, but also play a role in the passing game with his 75.8 average targets per season, that number for Miller is 38.7.

Johnson could play more of role in the backfield with the faster-pace offense.

Jarvis Landry – Wide Receiver – Cleveland Browns (ADP: 27)

Landry has mostly been useful as a PPR wide receiver.

He had the lowest number of receptions in his career in 2018, and now the Browns have a true number one receiver in Oddell Beckem Jr.. along with Chubb and Hunt in the backfield and Njoku as a reliable catching tight end, the regression for Landry will continue

Le’Veon Bell – Running Back – New York Jets (ADP: 5.7)

The problem with the Jets is not Bell himself, but the team around him.

New York is most likely going to play from behind a lot this season, relying more on the pass.

Looks like he’ll probably have to apologize again for this season.

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John “Supi” Supowitz is graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Masters in Sports Journalism. He is also currently a part of the Game Day Production Staff for a minor league baseball team. If you want to pique his interest, bring up the Yankees, pro-wrestling, or King of The Hill. You can follow him on Twitter @Imthatsupi85 and Instagram @Imthatsupi.

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