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Game Analysis:

Colby Covington and Joaquin Buckley are set to headline UFC Fight Night on Saturday, December 14, 2024, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Covington, a former interim UFC welterweight champion, enters the bout with a 17-4 record. Known for his relentless pace and wrestling prowess, Covington averages 3.79 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 44% accuracy rate. However, his recent performance has raised concerns; in his last outing against Leon Edwards, Covington appeared tentative and was outstruck and outwrestled, leading to a unanimous decision loss.

Buckley, holding a 20-6 record, is on a five-fight winning streak, including a notable knockout victory over Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson in October 2024. Transitioning from middleweight to welterweight, Buckley has showcased his striking power and improved grappling, averaging 1.96 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 46% accuracy rate. His dynamic striking and movement present a significant challenge to Covington’s pressure-heavy style. Analysts and fellow fighters suggest that Buckley’s hunger and recent activity could give him the edge, especially considering Covington’s perceived decline and short-notice acceptance of this fight.

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