Welcome to Week 12. Like last week, I found some of the spreads I couldn’t believe, one of which I’m telling you to definitely wager on this week.

I also saw for the first time in a while we only have one spread that’s in the double digits, keep reading to see if I’m telling you to take it.

Here are the best games to wager on for Week 12

Spreads To Bet On

Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Los Angeles Rams 

I could not believe oddsmakers only have the Ravens favored by a field goal. They just beat the Texans and Bengals by a combined 70 points, that’s 7-0.

The Rams offense struggles against good defenses. They were able to squeak by the Bears last week.

This season, the Ravens are winning by a margin of 19.4 points and +16.7 versus the spread. Ravens are a lock this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons (-4.5)

This is a strike while the iron is hot pick. Falcons have done a complete turnaround since their bye outscoring their opponents 55-12 in their last two games.

We know Jameis Winston turns the ball over, he had four interceptions last week against the Saints, while the Falcons forced four interceptions against the Panthers. The Falcons look poised to start a winning streak.

Totals To Consider

Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Over 48)

On one side, you have a leading candidate for MVP in Russell Wilson, and on the other, a potential MVP last year until an injury ending his season in Carson Wentz.

Both these teams can score points (Seahawks 27.5 per-game & Eagles 23.4), but they also give up points ( Seahawks 25.4 & Eagles 23).

This has the potential to be a back and forth offensive matchup.

New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears (Under 41)

Danny is still dropping dimes but unfortunately, it’s usually to the other team. In the Giants six-game losing streak, he’s averaging one pick-per-game The Bears problem is their offense’s inability to score points.

Both these team’s offenses rank in the bottom 10 in terms of points-per-game. Secondly, Chicago’s total has gone under in four of their last five games.

I think we’re going to see some Giants turnovers and the Bears failure to convert those into points.

Dog of the Day

Miami Dolphins (+10.5) vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns are riding into this game with back-to-back wins, and now they get a team at home that is 2-8; it seems to be a perfect time for the Browns to be the Browns.

This very much smells like a trap game for Cleveland. You don’t know what team you’re going to get week to week; will they be the team that beat the Ravens on the road or the one that lost to the Broncos?

The Dolphins have covered the spread in two or their last three games, both were double digits. The Browns may just sneak by with a win this week, but Miami will keep it close.