Welcome to Week 10. Although we have the most teams on a bye this week at six, there are still multiple double-digit spreads, a couple are mentioned here.

There are also some spreads that I saw and left me scratching my head, but I think you can take advantage of them and win big.

Here are the games I think you should bet on in Week 10.

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts (-10)

Who would have thought the Dolphins would be riding into a game with a win? In fact, the Colts are the ones looking to get back into the win column after a loss to Pittsburgh last week.

The Colts are much better than the Jets and don’t want to lose this game at home to this team. The Dolphins have been a much better team over the last few weeks, but they don’t have the talent to keep up.

Vegas had the opening line set at 14.5, and after it moved down to 10, that’s the number I’d jump on now. If Jacoby Brissett is confirmed to be the starter, that number may move back up.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (-13)

In the recent past, the twice a year matchup of these NFC South rivals was always great to watch: two top-tier quarterbacks with talented offenses going toe-to-toe point-for-point.

I’m usually expecting this game to be closer, but where these two are in their seasons, I understand the large spread.

This is the largest spread Atlanta has faced all season; their margin of loss on the road is 10.2, which is -3.4 versus their average spread, while New Orleans has an 8.2 win margin at home, which is +3.4 versus their average spread.

Secondly, the Saints have the best record against the spread this season at 6-2, while that number for the Falcons is reversed at 2-6.

Carolina Panthers Green Bay Packers Over 47

The Panthers are coming off an impressive win against Tennessee while the Packers laid an absolute dud last week against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Aside from last week, Green Bay has steadily improved their offense by scoring at least 30 points in three of their last five games, and Carolina has done that in four of their last six.

The total has gone over in five out of their last six matchups at Lambeau Field. Forty-seven points is an easy bet to make.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns Under 40

The Bills and Browns come into this game in the bottom eleven in terms of points-per-game, each with 19.

What doesn’t look for good for Cleveland is the Bills are allowing the third-lowest points-per-game with 16.5.

The Bills seemed to have found their ground game with Devin Singletary, and with Cleveland surrendering 141.3 rushing-yards-per-game, the Bills will stick with the running game and burn a lot of clock.

Add the fact the Browns cannot figure out their offense; all signs point to a low scoring game.

Dog of The Day

Seattle Seahawks (+6) vs. San Fransisco 49ers

No one thought a year ago the 49ers would be the last remaining undefeated team in the NFL. Their defense is one of the best in the league, and they average the most rushing yards-per-game in the NFC.

On the other side, you have Russel Wilson as an MVP candidate with his quarterback rating and QBR currently at a career-high.

Seattle has won 10 of the 11 matchups dating back to the 2013 NFC championships, but with both teams playing well at the same time for the first time in a while, the tides could be turning.

I believe San Fransisco will win this game, but it will be close, Seattle will cover the six points.

Double Dog

Los Angeles Rams vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (+3)

Although the Rams are riding back-to-back wins, they came against the Falcons and Bengals, who have a combined record of 1-15. The week before, they suffered a 13-point loss to the 49ers.

The Steelers have improved over the last week few weeks as Mason Rudolph has managed this offense well, and the defense has improved with an interception and a fumble recovery in six consecutive games.

Playing at Heinz Field with the east coast time change, I’m confused as to why Vegas has the Rams as the favorites. Pittsburgh is going to steal this game.