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It’s Christmas! I’m sure a couple of you are reading this Christmas Eve morning, getting ready to start and finish your Christmas shopping, I did mine yesterday, earliest ever for me.
This week Santa has gifted us four days of football, and even better, we feature games on three of those days with our best bets. Let’s look at the best games to wager on in Week 16.
Record this season: 27-29-2
Miami Dolphins (-3) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Saturday 8:15 P.M. EST
The Dolphins are riding high going into this West Coast trip to Vegas by eliminating the Patriots from the playoffs last week. The Raiders will be playing with backup quarterback Marcus Mariotta who struggled against the Chargers and now face a great Miami defense. The Dolphins have covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games and is a league-best 11-3 ATS, I’m shocked the Dolphins are only a field goal favorite.
Tennessee Titans (+3.5) vs. Green Bay Packers
Sunday 8:20 P.M. EST
These two teams still have a lot on the line the next two weeks; Green Bay would like to hold onto their number one spot with just a game advantage over New Orleans, while Tennessee would like to at least host the first week of the playoffs as they currently hold the tiebreaker against Indianapolis in the AFC South. The Titans are coming into this game covering the spread in three straight road games and are 12-5 under Mike Vrabel when catching at least three points, while the Packers are 0-2 against the spread versus winning teams this season.
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints (Over 50.5)
Friday 4:30 P.M.
The Vikings’ offense continues to put up points thanks to star running back Dalvin Cook and breakout rookie wide receiver Justin Jefferson. Not completely eliminated from the playoffs, but their chances are slim.
The Saints got Drew Brees back last week and even with the loss against the Chiefs, New Orleans is still just a game behind for the top spot in the NFC. Both New Orleans and Minnesota have the fourth-best over percentage this season and while the Saints only hit the over once in four starts with Taysom Hill, they’ve hit it in eight out of 10 games started by Drew Brees.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (Under 44.5)
Sunday 1:00 P.M.
To say the Steelers are having a rough few weeks might be an understatement. With three straight losses, they’ve fallen out of the top spot of the AFC and could possibly lose their lead in the AFC North.
The Colts continue to play efficiently and are probably one of the more complete teams in the league as the defense continues to play well and their offense has started to step up. Pittsburgh’s struggling offense doesn’t get any favors against Indianapolis which is allowing the seventh-fewest total yards-per-game, and Pittsburgh’s defense is still playing well, allowing the second-fewest points in the league.
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