Here’s The 2015 Week 10 NFL Thursday Night & Survivor Pick

by 3 years ago

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The weather has finally taken a turn for the worse. We’re officially in the fall season. The 70-degree days in October are a thing of the past north of the Mason-Dixon Line. I guess that means its football weather, which means I’d must rather watch games on my couch or at a bar then see them in person. Best of luck to anyone heading to MetLife Stadium for tonight’s game. Bring some extra layers.

Survivor Pick of the Week:

CINCINNATI over Houston
Hopefully you’ve saved Cincinnati for this week because none of the other options are that convincing. We used to hate Andy Dalton under the lights, but he can easily play a lot better when he’s playing awful opponents. First he beat up the Browns. Now he gets to beat up on the Texans. Remember when the Texans had a vaunted defense led by J.J. Watt? Well they still have Watt, but the defense sucks. It’s 20th against the run and 17th against the pass according to Football Outsiders DVOA. This may be a slight look ahead spot for Cincinnati with a game against Arizona next week, but at least it’s not on the road.

What else do we have? You probably already used Green Bay. I know I’ve mentioned them. They finally get a week to feel better about themselves after facing two undefeated teams. They’ll beat Detroit. The question is by how much. Baltimore hosts Jacksonville as a touchdown favorite, but can you really trust Baltimore based on the way they’ve lost games so far this year. Jacksonville also has been feisty this year and has a really good passing offense to get after Baltimore’s awful pass defense.

Philadelphia looked a lot offensively last week and team members seem to think they figured out some stuff during bye week. Miami hasn’t looked as fearsome in their comeback now that they faced better teams, but I just couldn’t pick Philadelphia with supreme confidence. The Rams have been rolling with their running game and defense. They should beat Chicago, but look at how well the Bears have played recently. Are you really going to put your faith in Nick Foles? New England can’t be stopped, but there are better spots for them and we all remember 18-1.

Thursday Night Pick:

Buffalo +1.5 over N.Y. JETS
If the Jets were healthy this would be your standard -3 line, but the boys from New York are really banged up. Nick Mangold, the linchpin of their offensive line, just can’t seem to feel right. He’s going to give it a go this week, but will he play the full game after a short week’s worth of rest? He didn’t even finish last game. Right guard Willie Colon was put on season-ending injured reserve. Eric Decker has been sitting out practices during the week to play on Sundays, but he doesn’t get the chance to do that this week with the Thursday game. Brandon Marshall is still nursing his own injured toe and ankle. Chris Ivory has been playing with leg issues for a few weeks now.

And that’s just the offense. The secondary is beat to shit outside of Darrelle Revis. Antonio Cromartie isn’t playing. Dee Milner is back, but he hasn’t faced game action yet. The Jets have are down to the practice squad level at their second safety spot because they’ve already lost their first three options.

Can the Bills take advantage without LeSean McCoy at full strength? I believe this is enough of a coin flip to take the points and the healthier team. Even if McCoy isn’t at 100% then Karlos Williams can fill in admirably. The key offensively is Tyrod Taylor’s return because he limits turnovers while still producing. The defense hasn’t lived up to its building, but the Jets aren’t firing on all cylinders right now offensively anyway. This is a good opportunity for Buffalo to get above .500.

J.Camm’s Pick: Buffalo

Last Week: 6-7
Season: 65-62-5
Locks: 19-9
Survivor: 7-2

JCamm: 61-66-5 

Has This Been The Worst NFL Season Ever For NFL Injuries? 


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