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I hope you finally returned all the Christmas presents you didn’t want because it’s time to wager on some games. Last week, we saw two road teams come away with upset victories, will lightning strike twice as they’ll face the number one seeds this week? We also get an exciting third matchup of division rivals with two all-time great quarterbacks and another matchup featuring two quarterbacks who could become greats. Here are the best wagers for the divisional round.
Los Angeles Rams (+6.5) vs. Green Bay Packers
The Rams picked up an upset win in Seattle last week, shutting down the early 2020 NFL MVP candidate Russell Wilson who had just 174 passing yards. This week they’ll now face the leading candidate for the MVP, Aaron Rodgers, at Lambeau Field.
Jared Goff was able to manage the game with two touchdowns after receiving thumb surgery just a couple of weeks prior, but it was the star running back Cam Akers with 131 rushing yards and a touchdown that helped pushed this offense. What will help keep the Rams in this game is their No. 1 ranked defense and with Packers’ star left tackle David Bakhtiari done for the year with a knee injury, Aaron Donald and this front line could be in Rodgers’ face enough to keep this game close.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills (Under 49.5)
Josh Allen played exceptional last week against Indianapolis with the only hiccup being that sack and fumble late in the fourth quarter. Baltimore finally put its demons aside to avenge their playoff loss last year to the Tennessee Titians. This will be a big test for the young Bills quarterback; he goes from facing the least blitzing team in the Colts to the highest blitzing and most quarterback knockdowns defense in the Ravens.
The last three totals for Baltimore have hit the under, two of those being under 49. I like the Ravens’ odds of containing a Bills offense that has been playing well as of late.
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Over 57.5)
I believe the Browns team we saw against Pittsburgh last week, and previously against Baltimore and Tennessee, is what this offense is. The games where they scored very little was due to injuries, COVID-19, and inclement weather, as of now the coaches and player are all set and it will be 43 degrees with a little wind in Kansas City.
We don’t need to talk about how good the Chiefs are because we’ve seen it over the last two years. The Browns with the third-most rushing yards will be able to move the ball on the ground against the Chiefs who ranked 21st against the run during the regular season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs.New Orleans Saints (Over 51.5)
The New Orlean Saints are trying to become the first team to beat an opponent three times in one season since the Dallas Cowboys did it to the Philadelphia Eagles in 2009. The Buccaneers won in a nail bitter over the Washington Football Team last weekend, while slime-covered end zones and Spongebob goal post where the most exciting part of Saints routing over the Bears. Tom Brady still has a bitter taste in his mouth as he’s lost both games to New Orleans by over 10 points, including 38-3 stomping in Week 9. I don’t expect Brady to put up a dud in a playoff game, and with this game being inside the controlled dome of the Supderdome, the over is the best bet.
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