Bettor Who Has Incorrectly Predicted The Super Bowl Winner For 16 Straight Years Makes His SB LVIII Pick

Getty Image / Ethan Miller

As everyone in the gambling world is getting geared up for Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas one statistically anomalous gambler has finally made his (likely incorrect) pick.

This Redditor has incorrectly picked the Super Bowl winner for 16 straight years and he’s once again made his pick.

The Redditor, im_THIS_guy, first made headlines three years ago with a post about how he’d incorrectly picked the Super Bowl winner for 14 straight years. Since then, he’s gone on to post in the Sportsbook subreddit each of the past few years with his prediction and each time he has incorrectly picked the Super Bowl winner.

Is this his year? The odds of *correctly guessing a coin flip 17 times in a row are 1-in-131,072, or approximately 0.000763%. According to Quora, this means that if 1,000,000 people conducted this experiment only about 6 or 7 of them would correctly guess 17 in a row.

To flip this, the bettor isn’t just blindly guessing with their Super Bowl pick like a coin flip. They have a lot of information to go on, information that influences their Super Bowl pick. Yet they’ve still incorrectly picked 16 years in a row…

This year, their Super Bowl LVIII pick is the Kansas City Chiefs. They wrote:

“The favorite is the underdog and the underdog is the favorite. This spread isn’t real, it’s all business. Vegas wants you to bet on the Chiefs and they want you to win. It’s a Christmas miracle. The stars have aligned and Vegas has issued the easiest win you’ll ever get.”

“I predict that the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS will win the Super Bowl.”

“Don’t overthink this. The better team will win. The Chiefs are an absolute machine in the playoffs. I’ve bet against them twice in the Super Bowl in the past and, to quote The Who, I won’t get fooled again.”

All of their reasoning and logic behind the Chiefs pick is stated here on the Sportsbook subreddit. Reasons they believe the Chiefs will beat the Niners range from the Chiefs being familiar with the Las Vegas stadium to Mahomes’ record in the NFL Playoffs.

The San Francisco 49ers are currently 2-point favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. Do with this information what you will. But we’ve got a full rundown on Super Bowl prop bets AND a separate rundown on the outcomes of popular prop bets if those interest you more than fading a serial loser.