Welcome to Week 11. The spreads are very close, only three teams have double-digit advantages, two of those are mentioned.

I once again have two underdogs I’m very confident in.

Here are the games I think you should wager in Week 11.

Spreads I Like

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) vs. Detroit Lions

With no Matthew Stafford or Kerryon Johnson, it’s tough to imagine the Lions keeping up with Cowboys, especially when their defense is 23rd in points-per-game. Although we’re never really sure which Cowboys offense we’re going to get any given Sunday, I don’t trust Detroit on either side of the ball to make this game competitive.

New Orleans Saints (5.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

You can’t tell me Drew Brees is not looking for blood after he was shut down at home against his rivals last week.

He is going against the worst pass defense who is giving up nearly 300 passing yards-per-game and 22 passing touchdowns.

The Bucs can score points too, but the Saints’ defense will keep them in check enough for a multiple score win. They want to prove they’re still the best team in the NFC South.

Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings (-10.5)

The Vikings have completely turned the tables offensively over the last few weeks. Kirk Cousins is actually throwing the ball, and Dalvin Cook is proving to be one of top tier running backs in the league.

The Broncos seem to be in limbo, Brandon Allen helped the Broncos win two weeks ago against Cleveland, but this is a road game against a Minnesota squad who’s 7-1 in their last eight home games.

Dogs of the Day 

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins (+7)

The Dolphins have won back-to-back games while the Bills put up a dud in Cleveland. Consecutive road weeks is tough against a team that’s actually improving.

The Dolphins started the season as a joke; remember when the Patriots were an 18.5 favorite in Week 2, I told you to take that and I hit? Now they’re 5-0 recently against the spread.

I still believe Buffalo will find a way to pull off a win this week; the defense is still one of the best, they have playmakers on offense, and Josh Allen is can do things with his arm and legs. I think it may be one of those skin of their teeth game-winning drive type of games.

Double Dog

Arizona Cardinals (+11.5) vs San Fransisco 49ers

I’m questioning Vegas on this line. Arizona lost in the previous matchup by just three points, and San Fransisco will not have George Kittle and possibly Emmanuel Sanders. Looking at last week’s game, Jimmy Garoppolo struggled without two of his best pass catchers.

Four of the Cardinals’ last six games have been determined by three points or less. Covering the 14 is a lock.

Totals To Bet On

Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens (Over 50)

Two of the most dynamic young mobile quarterbacks go head to head in a possible playoff preview.

I’m so ready to watch both of these guys do their thing on the field. Yards and points are going to come in abundance in this game as these two former first-round picks will try to see who’s the best.

Chicago Bears vs. Los Angeles Rams (Under 42)

The Rams can’t score against good defenses, and the Bears just can’t score.

You might have liked Trubisky last week because he scored three touchdowns, but he didn’t break 200 yards, and Goff could not make anything happen against a better Pittsburgh defense than he had faced in previous weeks.