College Football Lock Of The Week: Texas A&M vs. Tennessee

texas am tennessee picks preview

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The final week of the college football regular season is here, unfortunately, and it’s a weird one. While we have a number of conference championship games taking place, we’ve also got a number of makeup games taking place this weekend as well and we have our sights set on one of those for our CFB Lock of the Week.

Last week we took a rather sizeable L taking Nebraska over Minnesota to put us at 3-3 over the last six weeks. We absolutely have to finish the year strong and with a winning record and that’s what we’re going to do.

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College Football Lock Of The Week: Texas A&M vs. Tennessee

Kick-Off: 12:00 PM EST on ESPN

The Pick: Texas A&M (-14)

This matchup features two teams going in completely opposite directions. Texas A&M is still clinging to College Football Playoff hopes while Tennessee is in a pit of despair. Sure, the Vols are coming off of a win against Vanderbilt, but Tennessee is in a terrible spot at 3-6 on the season and could have a coaching decision to make at the end of the year.

The 7-1 Aggies had an unplanned off week last week as their game against Ole Miss was officially canceled after already being rescheduled earlier in the year. One may think an off week leading into a matchup against a lesser program could be a bad thing, but I think this A&M squad is still ticking at a high level, probably the highest level we’ve seen since Jimbo Fisher arrived in College Station.

 

Both of these teams are going to rely on the ground game and the nod in that department is heavily in A&M’s favor. Texas A&M ranks second in the SEC averaging 201.3 yards rushing per game while Tennessee averages 154.6 rushing yards per contest. The difference-maker will be the fact that Texas A&M can actually stop the run while Tennessee struggles to do so.

Tennessee’s run defense has statistically gotten a bit better over the last few weeks, but it was allowing over 180 yards on the ground through the first five games of their recently snapped six-game losing streak. The Vanderbilt game was an outlier, this A&M team is certainly a different animal than the Commodores. Expect to see Isaiah Spiller to have a huge game out of the backfield for A&M and be a real difference-maker.

Texas A&M needs help from other teams battling for a spot in the CFB Playoff, but the one thing it does control is the game on Saturday, one in which the Aggies need to win emphatically and I think they do just that on the road in Knoxville. Aggies by at least three touchdowns over the Vols.

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