AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Preview, 3 Best Value Picks

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After a dramatic Sunday at the Waste Management Phoenix Open last week, the PGA Tour heads to historic Pebble Beach this week for the AT&T Pro-Am.

The 156-player field is headlined by the likes of Jason Day, Jordan Spieth, Matt Kuchar, and last year’s winner, Phil Mickelson. Remember, it’s a 54-hole cut this week with the Top 60 and ties getting to move on to Sunday.

Mickelson won last year’s event by three shots at 19-under while Paul Casey took home runner-up honors.

The Courses

Pebble Beach

You’ve seen this course plenty of times over the years and know pretty much everything there is to know about it. It’s a Par 72 track that will stretch to 6,816 yards, which is very short when it comes to stops on Tour as wind and rain are the course’s two defenses.

The sightlines and pure beauty are what the course is known for, but don’t forget about the small greens here. There are some seriously small targets here with bunkers guarding everywhere; strokes gained: approach and proximity to hole are two key stats to look at.

Spyglass Hill

Spyglass is similar to Pebble Beach, but the Par 72 course is just a touch longer and the greens are just a bit larger in terms of square feet.

You’ll see more tree-lined fairways when the guys tee it here this week which can help keep the wind down just a bit. If you see any high scores this week, they’ll likely come from guys that are playing this course that given day.

Monterey Peninsula Shore Course

Unlike the other two courses, the Shore Course is just a Par 71 track and is unique with four Par 5’s and a whopping five Par 3’s.

This is the course where players will look to do their damage this week ahead of the cut on Saturday. It’s by far the easiest of the three tracks and the last 10 winners of this event have all shot 68 or better here en route to victory.

You’ve got larger greens and more generous fairways here, so expect to see some low numbers here throughout the first three rounds.

Best Value Betting Picks

Last week’s picks at Waste Management: Sungjae Im (T-34), Brandt Snedeker (MC) and Viktor Hovland (MC)

Paul Casey

Odds: 20-1

Last year Casey picked up a runner-up finish here and the year prior he finished T-8 showing he certainly likes all three of these tracks.

He hasn’t teed it up since The American Express in the middle of January where he earned a T-21 finish.

Casey is a ball-striking machine and enters the week ranked 24th on Tour in strokes gained: approach and 39th in greens in regulation percentage. He’ll hope to find a hot putter this week, but signs point to the Englishman to have another good week out at Pebble.

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Odds: 22-1

Speaking of Englishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick missed the cut here last year and this may be his first start on Tour in 2020, but he picked up a T-2 finish in Abu Dhabi a couple of weeks back and made the cut at last week’s Dubai Desert Classic.

Fitzpatrick isn’t someone that’s going to overpower a golf course but is a consistent fairway finder which is a recipe for success here with courses on the shorter side.

Russell Knox

Odds: 45-1

The Scot has put together back-to-back Top 15 finishes at this event over the last two years and enters the week fresh off of a T-16 finish at Waste Management.

Knox is an extremely consistent ball-striker and enters the week 15th on Tour in strokes gained: approach, 21st in greens in regulation percentage and his proximity to hole average of 33′ 7” is good enough for 29th on Tour.

The 34-year-old’s game fits here and given his form as of late he should be a contender come the weekend.