**Editor’s Note: Kevin Dudzinki is ranked in the top 5% of all DFS players, according to Rotogrinders.com, and has made a killing on fantasy since he started in 2013. Learn more about Kev HERE and follow him on Twitter HERE.***
The incredible run continues!
Colin Morikawa, in an absolutely incredible finish, was able to chase down Justin Thomas to force a 3 hole playoff, and secure the win. With his win, Morikawa was able to cash a 35-1 winner, and gain us 3.32 units of profit on the week. With that win, our total for the season rockets up to +17.98 units in 2020. At least something good is happening in 2020!
This is an interesting week, as the tour stays at the exact same course they were at last week, a real rarity. With the way my model worked, I’m going to be on a lot of the same guys.
We have a whole lot of stats to concentrate on, but most importantly we want excellent approach players, because these greens are small, and the rough will be even thicker this week. Ball strikers will be at a premium this week.
Below is a refresher on how I am allocating my bets this week, and who I like to take down the Memorial.
As far as betting, I’ll keep track of the overall performance for the year each week. The important thing to understand is that betting on golf is hard. Most weeks we are going to lose, but one winning week, can make up for multiple losing weeks. I’m taking a long term approach, and hoping to finish the season up. As you will see, we are going to spread our money out to multiple players, and hopefully grind out a profit.
Each week, I am going to put one unit in play. That unit is going to be divided up between all the players I want to bet on. This unit can be whatever you feel comfortable losing in a week, but should remain consistent throughout the season. If you move the amount all over the place each week, your chances of profiting decrease quite a bit. With that being said, let’s take a look at who I’m targeting to take down this event.
Now lets decide on two players from three different tiers that put us in a position to keep the heat streak alive; $9,000 and up, $7500-$8900, and under $7500.
With four tournaments in the books, we now have a solid sample of using recent form as well for our golfers, so we know who is playing reasonably well and who looks off.
This week is unique, as we have two straight tournaments at the same venue. A lot of the players in the pool got to see this course last week, though the tee boxes will be changed to make it longer, and the rough has been grown to make it more penal this week.
Let’s take a look at who we should be building our DK lineups around this week.
Hideki Matsuyama $10,000
If we loved Matsuyama at $10k last week, we certainly have to like him at a discount of only $9,400. He ranks first in my model, and as always if he can putt even just a little bit, he’s a real threat to win the tournament.
Justin Thomas $10,900
Thomas folded like a cheap suit last week down the stretch, coughing up a 3 stroke lead, and losing in a 3 hole playoff to Colin Morikawa. Though he did that, Thomas was electric throughout the week, and I expect him to come out highly motivated this week.
Abraham Ancer $8,500
Ancer has been on fire since the PGA returned, with a 14th, 2nd, and 11th place finish in his first three events. Coming in 11th at my model, he’s the perfect mid tiered price that doesn’t make your lineup have to take a bottom of the barrel kind of guy.
Paul Casey $7,900
This price is a tad too low for Casey. He’s got a solid history, and is a great ball striker. He ranks 13th in my model, and is a great salary saver.
Harris English $7,300
After taking a few events off, English returns this week. He’s coming off a 17th place finish at the RBC Heritage, so he seems to be in good form. He has been elite at hitting greens in regulation, an important stat here, and ranks first in my model at Par 4’s from 450-500 yards, another key stat.
Adam Hadwin $7,400
Hadwin was in my main lineup last week, and this week his certainly under consideration again. He started off with a fire first round, and even though he faded as the tournament went on, he still put together a respectable showing. Now priced even cheaper, I think he is a solid option once again.
Good luck this week, and see you at the top of the leaderboards!