Ranking The 11 Teams Most Likely To Win The 2026 FIFA World Cup

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is upon us. In the weeks ahead, some players will enter the annals of history as legends while others will be sent home thinking about what might’ve been. Below, we rank the countries/teams/squad who are most likely to win this year’s World Cup.

There are the usual suspects, the perennial contenders. Germany and Brazil together have combined for 11 World Cup victories. England is also a heavy favorite to make a deep World Cup run on the backs of the world’s most prolific goal scorer, Harry Kane.

Ranking The 11 Teams Most Likely To Win The World Cup

Just a quick note that these odds are obviously entirely theoretical. There is a reason they play the matches and World Cups aren’t won on paper. A red card here or injury there can send any World Cup match into complete and utter chaos. We are all in for an absolutely thrilling month of matches across the country and these 11 nations below are the ones to watch out for.

11. Colombia (Group K)

The Colombian National Team, aka Los Cafeteros, are in Group K along with Portugal. They are +240 to win the group because of the Portuguese side but with the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uzbekistan filling out the rest of Group K they should have zero problems advancing out of the group stage. Colombia is currently ranked #13 in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings and are W-W-L-L-W in their last 5 matches.

A quick look at the latest DraftKings odds via ESPN shows the Colombians are 40-to-1 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup and have 18-to-1 odds to make the Finals. Despite being a proud soccer nation, Colombia has never won a World Cup and their best performance to date is a trip to the quarterfinals in the 2014 Brazilian World Cup. They have a LOT of support in America so it will be interesting to see if that helps them make another deep run.

10. Norway (Group I)

The Norwegian National Team is in Group I along with World Cup favorites France. They also share the group with Iraq and Senegal. I’ve actually punched my ticket to go see Norway vs Iraq at Gillette Stadium and will get to see Martin Ødegaard and Erling Haaland up close as I wear my Norway lax tank top in support because why not?

In Norway’s last 5 matches the results are W-W-L-D-W with their most recent result a 3-1 win over Sweden. They are currently ranked 31st in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings. And bookmakers have them at 35-to-1 to win it all, 12-to-1 to make the World Cup Finals, and they are +275 to win Group I as France will likely run away with that group.

9. Belgium (Group G)

Moving over to Group G we have Belgium who are 35-to-1 to win it all, 12-to-1 to make the World Cup Finals, and -220 to win Group G. That group is filled up with Belgium, Egypt, Iran, and New Zealand and it should be smooth sailing out of the Group Stage for the Red Devils.

They are currently ranked 9th in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings and have gone D-W-W-D-W in their 5 most recent matches. Their most recent result was a 2-0 win over Croatia. Belgium has never won a World Cup but finished in 3rd in the 2018 World Cup with a 2-0 win over England in the 3rd place match after losing 1-0 to France in the Semi-Finals. Could this be their year?

8. Netherlands (Group F)

The Netherlands are -125 to win Group F, a group they share with Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia. They are heavy favorites to win the group at -125. Their odds to make the World Cup Finals are +900 and they are 22-to-1 to win it all despite having never won a World Cup before.

Currently, Netherlands are ranked 7th in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings and their five most recent results are W-D-W-W-D. They have made 11 of 22 World Cups throughout the years and are always a strong presence. They have *NEVER* lost a World Cup match by more than one goal in regulation time. Let that sink in.

7. Germany (Group E)

The German National Team is one of the most successful in the world. Their 4 World Cup titles trail only Brazil’s 5. This year they are 14-to-1 to win it all, +550 to make the World Cup Finals, and -250 to win Group E.

Germany has seen some minor regression in recent years and aren’t quite the fearsome squad they were 8 or 12 years ago but don’t bother telling that to the players in the squad who are 100% intent on winning. They find themselves in Group E along with Curacao, Ivory Coast, and Ecuador.

6. Portugal (Group K)

The Portuguese squad is stacked. As the favorites to win Group K (-215), they are 10-to-1 to win the World Cup and have +500 odds to make the Finals. Group K, as mentioned before, is also filled out with Colombia, Uzbekistan, and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Portugal has never won a World Cup but they have won the Euros. They have Cristiano Ronaldo who bleeds success and trophies. Do I think they’ll win it all? No. Could they? Absolutely.

5. Argentina (Group J)

The reigning World Cup champions, Argentina, still have the world’s best player, Lionel Messi. And for that reason among many others they are +900 to win it all, +425 to make the World Cup Finals, and -265 to win Group J.

Group J is Charmin Ultra Soft. Argentina will face Algeria, Austria, and Jordan. They should be able to snooze their way through the Group Stage before even breaking a sweat but after that, who knows.

4. Brazil (Group C)

The Brazilian National Team are +850 to win it all, +400 to make the World Cup Finals, and -350 to win Group C. They are the most decorated World Cup nation on earth with 5 World Cup victories but they haven’t won it all since 2002 and fans are getting restless.

Group C also includes Haiti, Scotland, and Morocco, three teams who will all be competing for 2nd place in the group. My money’s on Scotland there. Brazil will roll out Neymar, Vinicius Junior, Raphinha, Marquinhos, Gabriel Martinelli and Gabriel Magalhaes. They are STACKED. From a bettor’s perspective the odds aren’t fantastic here but they might be the safest bet among all the participating nations.

3. England (Group L)

Coming in at #3 are the Three Lions. England will run through Group L with ease, facing Croatia, Ghana, and Panama in the Group Stage. They have Harry Kane who is the world’s best natural goal scorer by a mile. But let’s be honest, the pressure placed every World Cup on the English squad causes them to crumble and that pressure will certainly be present this time around. England are currently ranked #4 in the FIFA World Rankings and have gone W-W-W-D-L in their 5 most recent matches.

England are +650 to win it all, +300 to make the World Cup Finals, and -280 to win Group L. I’ll be rooting for them as my secondary team after the United States (at #1 in my heart) but it’s tough knowing that Harry Kane turns into a ghost in pivotal knockout matches…

2. France (Group I)

If there was a second team behind Brazil I’d pin as the safest bet it is France in Group I. They are +500 to win it all, +300 to make the World Cup Finals, and -215 to win Group I.

France currently ranks #1 in the FIFA Men’s World Cup Rankings and in their five most recent matches they have gone D-W-W-W-W. Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele are going to rain hellfire upon defenses. This squad might break records for most goals scored in the group stage but after that, who knows.

1. Spain (Group H)

Coming in at #1, the favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, is La Roja. The Spaniards are +475 to win it all, +220 to make the World Cup Finals, and -400 to win Group H which also consist of Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay.

The Spanish roster includes Rodri, Pedri, Oyarzabal, Cucurella, Gavi, Ferran Torres, and plenty of other ballers. They are gelling well together and currently ranked #2 in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings but their recent results are checkered. In their 5 most recent matches, Spain has gone W-W-D-W-D, only one win in their three most recent matches.

Spain has won the World Cup once before, back in 2010 in South Africa. Could this be their year? Let me know who you think will win it all with your answer below in the new BroBible comments section!