**Editor’s Note: Kevin Dudzinki is ranked in the top 5% of all DFS players, according to Rotogrinders.com, and has made a killing on fantasy since he started in 2013. Learn more about Kev HERE and follow him on Twitter HERE.***
What more can we even say right now?
Another week, another winner. This time Colin Morikawa came through for us for the second time since the PGA Tour returned, cashing in a 35-1 ticket for us. The insane run continues, as I’ve now picked the outright winner 5 of the last 6 weeks, and 6 of the 9 weeks since the PGA Tour returned.
If you bet $100 a week since the tour returned, you’d be up $1,476 in nine weeks. If you’ve been following since January when we began, at $100 a week, you’d be up a cool $2,497.
This week, we head to the Wyndham Championship, a course known for being an absolute birdie fest. The field is week, and the course is easy, so expect to see extremely low scores. Just a few years ago, Brandt Snedeker dropped a round of 59 in his opening round here. Birdies galore!
Looking at past winners here, it’s extremely important to find great tee to green players. Along with that, we want birdie makers, not guys who grind out pars. Past winners here also seem to make up a big amount of strokes on Par 4’s, especially between 400-450 yards.
Below is a refresher on how I am allocating my bets this week, and who I like to take down the Wyndham Championship.
As far as betting, I’ll keep track of the overall performance for the year each week. The important thing to understand is that betting on golf is hard. Most weeks we are going to lose, but one winning week, can make up for multiple losing weeks. I’m taking a long term approach, and hoping to finish the season up. As you will see, we are going to spread our money out to multiple players, and hopefully grind out a profit.
Each week, I am going to put one unit in play. That unit is going to be divided up between all the players I want to bet on. This unit can be whatever you feel comfortable losing in a week, but should remain consistent throughout the season. If you move the amount all over the place each week, your chances of profiting decrease quite a bit. With that being said, let’s take a look at who I’m targeting to take down this event.
Now, we’ll take a look at players I have the most interest in using on DraftKings in their tournaments. In these articles. I’ll pick two players from three different tiers: $9,000 and up, $7500-$8900, and under $7500.
A weak field this week means some of the names will be priced higher than they have in the past.
Let’s take a look at who we should be building our DK lineups around this week.
Brooks Koepka 11,400
Koepka is obviously coming in great form, with a second place finish two weeks ago, and was in contention until folding on Sunday. He ranks first in my model, but isn’t the outright favorite. He’s also motivated to do well, as he wants to qualify for the FedEx Playoffs. I love Koepka this week.
Patrick Reed $10,700
Reed ranks third in my model, and also comes in with decent form. A 13th place finish last week at the PGA Championship, and four straight made cuts, with a top ten mixed in at the loaded field at The Memorial. He’s number one in the field in birdies made over the last 50 rounds, so he’s got the ability to get low.
Joaquin Niemann $7,900
Niemann can be volatile, but he has the ability to light up a course on a given week. He only tends to miss the cut in loaded fields, so he should be able to make the cut and potentially play his way into contention this week. Ranked 5th in my model, he’s elite at both tee to green and approach shots. If he can get hot with the putter, it could be his week.
Ryan Moore $8,100
Moore’s last showing was at the 3M Open, putting together a nice tournament and finishing 12th. He’s an elite birdie maker in this field, and is one of the best Par 4 scorers in this group. He ranks 6th in my model, and is moderately priced.
Henrik Norlander $7,300
Norlander is my play of the week. He ranks second in my model, almost unheard of being that high at this price. He’s been playing great recently, makes birdies, and is at worst slightly above average in every single statistic I am looking at. He’s going to be in most if not all my lineups.
Talor Gooch $6900
The Gooch is very cheap this week, and is another guy who seems a bit underpriced. Another volatile player, but the upside is there with a 17th and 18th place showing 2 of the last 4 weeks. He’s not safe, but he can certainly pay off his price tag.
Good luck this week, and see you at the top of the leaderboards!