The 2022 NFL season and 2023 Super Bowl are now in the past. The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 in an instant classic Sunday evening in Glendale, Arizona.
As for the Chiefs, the team was considered one of the favorites coming into the season. According to Pro Football Reference, the Chiefs had the third-best odds at +1020, or at about 10-1. The Eagles’ odds were around the middle of the pack at +2400.
Of course, the Eagles got so close due to the emergence of Jalen Hurts as a bona fide superstar and MVP vote-getter. Meanwhile, teams like the Denver Broncos and then-defending champion Los Angeles Rams had top-eight odds and did not even sniff the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl
So, there’s some value in preseason Super Bowl odds. But, how much value is there in odds that come out just after the previous year’s Super Bowl, before any offseason moves have happened? Well, who knows. But, new odds are out for the winner of the 2024 Super Bowl, to be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
A first look at the 2024 Super Bowl odds @FDSportsbook 👀 pic.twitter.com/1NAhaHQ8yo
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) February 13, 2023
Some of these stand out to me. First, there’s a clear group of five teams that the sportsbook thinks are the most likely contenders. The Chiefs, Bills, Bengals, 49ers, and Eagles seem to be the cream of the crop. And, you could make a real argument that they were the best five teams in the league this past season.
Las Vegas clearly does not respect the Minnesota Vikings. The Norsemen finished 13-4 this year under first-year head coach Kevin O’Connell, and added highly-thought-of defensive coordinator Brian Flores. But, they’re getting no respect at +4000.
A team that is getting quite a bit of respect is the New York Jets. If not for the putrid quarterback play by Zach Wilson this season, the Jets likely would have made the playoffs. And, with the chance they get Aaron Rodgers or Derek Carr, they’ve been priced at +2500, near the middle of the pack to win the Super Bowl.
Again, it’s wildly early, as teams will look a lot different come week one next season. But, it’s still fun to think about.